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Producer confidence in March was below the 20-year average of -1.3. It reached an all-time high (10.4) in October 2021 and an all-time low (-31.5) in April 2020.

Producer confidence manufacturing industry (seasonally adjusted)
2020 April -31.5
2020 May -28.1
2020 June -18.7
2020 July -11.8
2020 August -7.8
2020 September -7
2020 October -7.7
2020 November -6.4
2020 December -3.2
2021 January -1.8
2021 February -2.6
2021 March 0.6
2021 April 3.6
2021 May 5.6
2021 June 7.8
2021 July 9.2
2021 August 7.1
2021 September 9.1
2021 October 10.4
2021 November 10.1
2021 December 7.3
2022 January 6.5
2022 February 5.8
2022 March 5.7
2022 April 7.2
2022 May 5.8
2022 June 4.2
2022 July 5.3
2022 August 2.4
2022 September 1.2
2022 October 0.9
2022 November 1.1
2022 December 1
2023 January 1.1
2023 February 0.9
2023 March 0.9
2023 April -0.3
2023 May -1.7
2023 June -2.7
2023 July -2.7
2023 August -4.6
2023 September -3.9
2023 Oktober -3.7
2023 November -2.6
2023 December -5.7
2024 January -4.4
2024 February -4.2
2024 March -4.8

Less positive about expected output

Manufacturers were less positive about expected output for the next three months, and were also more negative about their current stocks of finished products. They were slightly less negative about order positions however.

One component indicator was positive: manufacturers anticipating an increase in output over the next three months outnumbered those expecting a decrease.

Two component indicators were negative. More manufacturers see their order position as weak rather than strong for the time of year, and more manufacturers describe their current stock of finished products as large rather than small.

Producer confidence: component indicators (seasonally adjusted)
Producer confidence -4.8 -4.2
Expected output 3.5 4.6
Assessment of stocks of finished products -6.7 -5.3
Assessment of order-book levels -11.4 -11.9

Producer confidence most positive in the paper and printing industry

Confidence was negative in most manufacturing sectors in March. Producer confidence in the paper and printing industry was the highest, and it was lowest in the timber and building materials industry.

Producer confidence by sector (seasonally adjusted)
Paper and printing 2.3 1.6
Petroleum and chemicals -4 -1.7
Food, beverages, tobacco -4.2 -6.5
Electrotechnical products and machinery -5.1 -2.1
Metal -7.3 -5.5
Textiles, clothes, leather -7.4 -8.5
Transport equipment -11.7 -7
Timber and building materials -15.1 -20.2

Manufacturing output down by 5.5 percent in January

In January, the calendar adjusted output of the Dutch manufacturing industry was 5.5 percent lower than in January 2023. Output also contracted year-on-year in the preceding nine months of 2023. After adjustments for seasonal and calendar effects, manufacturing output fell by 4.7 percent in January relative to December.

As of January 2024, a number of changes have been made to producer confidence. Producer confidence and the component indicators are no longer corrected for insufficient objective assessment (bias) by the producer. This causes a level shift (decrease) for the entire series. In addition, the figures have been recalculated from January 2012 using a different weighting method. The seasonal adjustment method has also been improved.

Source of original article: Statistics Netherlands (CBS) (www.cbs.nl).
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